Friday v3 update · Headline pick survives
Friday retrain confirms Luke Brooks as the round's strongest player edge. Updated numbers: model 29.7% vs market 25.0% = +4.7pp edge, $4.20 @ Ladbrokes, HIGH confidence. The market has firmed on him since Tuesday (edge compressed from +8.1pp to +4.7pp) but the call is intact. Two picks logged for this fixture.
The story of this game
Manly at home against a Titans side travelling without their first-choice spine. The market has Manly at $1.27 and we'd be shorter still. This is the kind of fixture where the headline outcome is mostly priced — value is going to come from the right player markets, not the H2H line.
Brooks at full minutes against a Titans defence that's been leaky through the middle. We expect Manly to have the ball for long stretches and that puts our headline tryscorer pick right in the fixture we like the most.
Our picks in this game
Luke Brooks
Notable for this game
- Brooks named at six and expected to play full minutes.
- Titans travelling with several spine question marks.
What to watch
Our strongest pick of the round — Luke Brooks (Five-Eighth) — lives in this game. Full unit, our cleanest read.
Named 17 (per the team sheets)
Sea Eagles
- Clayton Faulalo (1·Fullback)
- Jason Saab (2·Winger)
- Josh Feledy (3·Centre)
- Reuben Garrick (4·Centre)
- Blake Wilson (5·Winger)
- Luke Brooks (6·Five-Eighth)
- Jamal Fogarty (7·Halfback)
- Taniela Paseka (8·Prop)
- Brandon Wakeham (9·Hooker)
- Ethan Bullemor (10·Prop)
- Jackson Shereb (11·2nd Row)
- Ben Trbojevic (12·2nd Row)
- Jake Trbojevic (13·Lock)
Titans
- Keano Kini (1·Fullback)
- Jensen Taumoepeau (2·Winger)
- Jaylan De Groot (3·Centre)
- AJ Brimson (4·Centre)
- Phillip Sami (5·Winger)
- Jayden Campbell (6·Five-Eighth)
- Zane Harrison (7·Halfback)
- Moeaki Fotuaika (8·Prop)
- Oliver Pascoe (9·Hooker)
- Klese Haas (10·Prop)
- Arama Hau (11·2nd Row)
- Beau Fermor (12·2nd Row)
- Cooper Bai (13·Lock)